人工智能取代工作_人工智能正在取代人们的工作-开发人员是下一个吗？

人工智能取代工作

I was recently asked to comment on whether there was any point in becoming a developer right now, because AI might be doing your job very soon.

最近有人要求我评论一下现在成为开发人员是否有任何意义，因为AI可能很快就会完成您的工作。

Here is the quote I was asked to comment on:

这是我被要求评论的报价：

Developing websites, especially ones with static content or just plain content management, will no longer be a relevant skill in next few years.
开发网站，尤其是那些具有静态内容或仅具有纯内容管理功能的网站，在未来几年将不再是一项相关技能。

Developing websites, especially ones with static content or just plain content management, will no longer be a relevant skill in next few years.
开发网站，尤其是那些具有静态内容或仅具有纯内容管理功能的网站，在未来几年将不再是一项重要技能。

I’ve also been reading more articles on AI and a few have rekindled my interest in the conversation. One of the best articles I’ve read is Should developers care that their AI products could take away peoples jobs?

我也一直在阅读有关AI的更多文章，其中一些重新激发了我对对话的兴趣。我读过的最好的文章之一是开发人员应该关心他们的AI产品会带走人们的工作吗？

人工智能工作 (AI Taking Jobs)

There is no doubt that AI is now doing things that were earlier done by people. The most obvious is chatbots taking away customer service jobs, but there are loads of other examples: facial recognition passport gates, automatic logistics planning, and even creating art.

毫无疑问，人工智能现在正在做的工作早已由人们完成。最明显的是聊天机器人取消了客户服务工作，但还有很多其他示例：面部识别护照门，自动后勤计划甚至是创作艺术品。

技术工作是正常的 (Tech taking jobs is normal)

Throughout history, technology has been taking the jobs of people. The horse drawn plough took away the jobs of field diggers, horse farriers lost their jobs because of tractors, and recently production line workers have been loosing their jobs to robotic workers.

纵观历史，技术一直占据着人们的工作。马拉犁剥夺了现场挖掘机的工作，马农夫因拖拉机而失业，最近生产线工人一直在向机器人工人失去工作。

AI taking people’s jobs is just the next step in the continual process.

AI接替人们的工作只是持续过程的下一步。

AI会承担开发人员的工作吗？ (Will AI Take Developer Jobs?)

Yes, and it’s already started.

是的，它已经开始了。

The quote talks about those jobs that involve writing HTML and CSS, and I thing that a lot of them are already disappearing. Services like SquareSpace allow you to design and build a website without any coding. You can have it exactly as you like without ever having to employ a developer. This isn’t even AI, this is just well designed software.

引言谈到了涉及编写HTML和CSS的那些工作，我想其中的许多工作已经消失了。诸如SquareSpace之类的服务使您无需任何编码即可设计和构建网站。您可以完全按照自己的意愿拥有它，而无需雇用开发人员。这甚至不是AI，这只是精心设计的软件。

AI has also been used in this field. There have been projects to get AI to build a website from a PhotoShop design. It used image analysis and feature detection to build up a full website from mockups.

AI也已在该领域中使用。已经有一些项目使AI从PhotoShop设计中构建网站。它使用图像分析和功能检测从模型构建完整的网站。

那更多的技术工作呢？ (What about more technical jobs?)

Technical jobs, like creating dynamic websites, writing software, or data science, seem safe for now, but I think they’ll start seeing AI in the workplace more and more.

目前，技术工作(例如创建动态网站，编写软件或数据科学)似乎很安全，但我认为他们将开始越来越多地在工作场所看到AI。

I don’t believe that AI will be taking jobs away, but will rather give developers an incredibly powerful tool to create better products. There are loads of places that I’d love to use AI in my work life, like automating some boring processes.

我不相信AI会抢走工作，而是会为开发人员提供一个功能强大的工具来创建更好的产品。我希望在工作中使用很多地方的AI，例如使一些无聊的过程自动化。

I don’t think it’ll be long before we have template compilers that take simple commands and compile them into whatever language you want. This will be such a powerful tool as it could eliminate the need for generic boilerplate code, cut down repetitive typing tasks, and give developers time to do what we do best: solve problems.

我认为不久之后，我们就会有了采用简单命令并将其编译为所需语言的模板编译器。这将是一个功能强大的工具，因为它可以消除对通用样板代码的需求，减少重复的打字任务，并为开发人员提供时间来做我们最擅长的事情：解决问题。

I expect there are loads of use cases in development that would make life so much better. If you can think of any great examples, let me know in the comments.

我希望开发中有大量用例，它们会使生活变得更好。如果您能想到任何出色的示例，请在评论中告诉我。

Soft skills will be much harder for AI to understand and replicate. Creating a relationship with your customers, effectively motivating and working with a team, and understanding human wants and needs are all skills that turn a good developer into a great one.

人工智能很难理解和复制软技能。与客户建立关系，有效地激励团队并与团队合作以及了解人类的需求和需求都是使一名优秀的开发人员成为优秀的开发人员的全部技能。

100年后呢？ (What about in 100 years?)

In 100 years, I have no doubt that a lot of current developer jobs will become obsolete. AI will probably be able to create incredibly complex software from a description of its features. There may also be sentient AI which would be able to figure out whatever it is you wanted and then do that. You wouldn’t need unique software packages anymore.

毫无疑问，在100年中，许多当前的开发人员工作将被淘汰。 AI可能将能够通过其功能描述来创建极其复杂的软件。也许还有有感觉的AI，它将能够弄清您想要的任何东西，然后执行此操作。您不再需要独特的软件包。

There will also be loads of new jobs to replace our current ones. No one 100 years ago would have thought that web designer, JavaScript developer, or machine learning developer would be jobs in the future. In 100 years, there are going to be new jobs we can’t even imagine.

还将有大量新工作取代我们现有的工作。 100年前，没有人会想到Web设计师，JavaScript开发人员或机器学习开发人员会在将来成为工作。在100年中，将会有我们无法想象的新工作。

You could be an alien designer — designing synthetic lifeforms to make distant planets habitable for humans — or a warpdrive operator. Who knows!

您可能是外星人设计师-设计合成的生命形态以使遥远的星球适合人类居住-或是warpdrive操作员。谁知道！

那么现在值得成为一名开发人员吗？ (So is it worth becoming a developer now?)

Yes, it is! If you want to become a developer, I think it is a great career choice.

是的！如果您想成为一名开发人员，我认为这是一个不错的职业选择。

You may start learning to do things that can already be done by AI, but soon you’ll be working on projects that AI is not yet able to do. Demand for developers is set to massively increase over the next decade, and the number of areas you can work in is equally massive.

您可能开始学习做AI可以完成的事情，但是很快您将从事AI尚无法完成的项目。在接下来的十年中，对开发人员的需求将大大增加，并且您可以从事的领域数量也同样巨大。

You’ll also be in an industry in which progress is always happening. You can continually grow your skills, adopt AI to make your life easier and more productive, and learn about the bleeding edge of technology.

您还将处于一个不断进步的行业。您可以不断提高自己的技能，采用AI来使您的生活更轻松，更高效，并了解技术的前沿。

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